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According to the "January theory", if the stock market is up for the month of January, it will be up for the year. ?If it is down in January, it will be down in January. ?According to the article in the Wall Street Journal, this theory held for 28 out of the last 34 years. ?Suppose there is no truth to this theory, that is, the probability is either up or down 0.5. ?
What is the probability this could occur by chance? (Round your answer to 6 decimal places)
Paper#9209711 | Written in 27-Jul-2016Price : $19